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Mapping the Votes in the Cincinnati Mayor's Race

Updated: Wednesday, November 6 2013, 09:28 PM EST
CINCINNATI (Jeff Hirsh) -- You know how baseball stat geeks are called SABRmetricians. Election stats, i guess make me an electionmatrician.

One of the great political truths is that it's not just how many people vote, but who those people are, where they live, liberal areas versus conservative, black or white.  Each candidate tries to maximize his or her base, the core voters who like them and then win the swing vote, the undecided.

In this particular election, it looks like John Cranley built up huge margins in the more conservative areas, while Roxanne Qualls won the more liberal parts of town, but not by enough.  And when you consider that Qualls came in first in the council race two years ago, and then was just crushed by Cranley this time, it shows you the strength of Cranley's arguments all over town against the streetcar and the parking deal, as well as his strong ground game, the endorsements and the get the voters out in African-American areas.

Analysts like Xavier University political scientist Gene Beaupre were not expecting Tuesday night's outcome. "When people began to speculate about the race, people thought Mr. Cranley would get most of the vote on west side, Ms. Qualls would get most of the east side, both would get some votes on each side, and they would fight for the middle. The map is completely different from that. His color is green and it's completely green. Is the middle of the spine is what Ms. Qualls got. I would have not expected such a thorough victory on those two sides".

Another interesting number, P.G. Sittenfeld came in first in the city council race. That's a field race top nine win by 10-thousand votes over second place Charlie Winburn.

Watch video HERE
Mapping the Votes in the Cincinnati Mayor's Race


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