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Mapping Cranley's Victory

Updated: Wednesday, November 6 2013, 09:31 PM EST
CINCINNATI (Jeff Hirsh) -- 9,000 votes, that's how badly John Cranley defeated Roxanne Qualls in the race for Cincinnati's mayor.

The margin was 58 percent to 42 percent.  So what's behind those numbers?  And, where do the votes come from?  Local 12 News reporter Jeff Hirsh has the answers.
 
Well, to use a football analogy, it was geographically Qualls up the middle, Cranley left, and Cranley right. 

John Cranley's victory over Roxanne Qualls was, by any standard, a blowout, a landslide.  But where did that landslide come from?  A map at the Board of Elections shows how the votes came in.  Blue is Roxanne Qualls.  She pretty much took downtown up through Over-the-Rhine, Clifton by the university, and Northside, the more liberal areas, here's Pleasant Ridge.

Everything else except for one tie which is orange is Cranley.  The East Side, Mt. Washington, up here Carthage, big votes in the African American community, Bond Hill, and out on the West  Side Cranley really cleaned up.

The two issues he rode through the entire campaign, the streetcar and the parking meters, must have just saturated the minds of the electorate out there.  Jeff Hirsh reviewed the map with Gene Beaupre, political analyst from Xavier University.  Beaupre says the low turnout, 29 percent citywide, plus cranley's strength in the conservative west side, were factors in his victory.

Those early returns are a pretty good predictor of how the rest of the night will go.  Early votes, Cranley 61-39.  Overall election with all the votes, Cranley 58- Qualls 42.  So now, unlike with the old absentee ballots, if you're getting drubbed in the early votes, perhaps you might as well go home.

Watch video HEREMapping Cranley's Victory


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